Manchester City goes into the 2019 FA Cup Final looking to complete a domestic treble after taking out the Premier League last weekend.
They last won the FA Cup in 2011 and famously lost to Wigan in 2013.
Watford on the other hand have defied expectations to make it back to Wembley for the first time since their 1984 defeat to Everton.
Even though City goes into the FA Cup Final as heavy favourites, there’s still plenty of value to be found in this one.
While we all dream about a close, high scoring FA Cup Final, chances are this game will be a grind as both sides set up not to lose.
City haven’t been lighting up the scoreboard the way you would expect a Pep Guardiola side to lately.
Since blasting Chelsea 6-0 back in February, their goals have dried up.
In that time they have scored two or fewer goals in eight of 13 domestic matches and they may look to suffocate Watford out of this rather than trying to outscore them.
Considering they went four games without conceding a goal, that run was ended by Brighton at the weekend, they are a very good chance to keep a clean sheet here.
Dating back to February, they have kept clean sheets in all bar nine of their 22 matches in all competitions
Because of that, I’ll back Under 2.5 Goals in this match, which has hit in six of their last eight in the Premier League.
Anytime Goalscorer Market
Someone is going to have to score for City so naturally you think of Sergio Aguero.
He’s only scored twice in the FA Cup this season but has been in strong form lately, finding the back of the net in three of City’s last six matches and has seven goals in his last ten appearances.
Even at under even money, I’ll back him to score on the big stage.
All of the numbers say this FA Cup Final is only going to go one way and that is to Manchester.
Under the Abu Dhabi ownership, they have never dropped a game against Watford, winning ten straight and they go into this game expecting another victory.
Add in a 14 game winning run in the Premier League and even in a one-off Cup Final setting, City will be hard to stop.
As we mentioned before, this game might be a tight, low scoring affair so whoever wins could very well take it out with a clean sheet.
That’s where the value is for a City win here, so I’ll take them to win a low scoring affair.
TIP: Back Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $1.91